Between Zero and the Cap, Türkiye's Power Market at the Turn of 2027

Between Zero and the Cap, Türkiye's Power Market at the Turn of 2027

 💻 Upcoming Webinar
 

Türkiye has run a wholesale market for fifteen years, but 2026 delivered volatility of a kind Europe took two decades to reach, and it arrived before the tools to manage it. Whether you're a generator, industrial buyer, storage developer, trader or market participant, this webinar offers a grounded framework for where Turkish power prices go next and how to plan in a market where regulatory decisions are as impactful as market fundamentals.

This session will unpack:

  • What reset Turkish power prices in 2026? A record hydro year pushed gas and coal out of the merit order, renewables reached 72% of May generation, and prices swung more than fourfold in seven months without a single move in fuel costs

  • Why is the price signal bounded at both ends? A 0 TL/MWh floor that produces zero-price hours instead of negative prices, and a 4,500 TL/MWh cap indexed to nothing that clears the market on summer evenings; between them sits the entire addressable spread for every flexible asset in the country

  • What changes on 1 January 2027? The first large cohort of RES plants (approximately 2GW) leaves YEKDEM for the merchant market, Akkuyu enters as must-run baseload priced above the cap, and Türkiye's Russian gas contracts expire

  • How to build a forward view where no curve exists? A walkthrough of the latest Türkiye dataset and the handful of assumptions that move everything: hydrology, gas supply, how much of the storage pipeline converts, demand growth, and the point at which carbon stops being free   

  • Why is this now a modelling problem rather than a market one? A live demonstration of the Energy Decision Intelligence suite, taking a maintained dataset through to scenarios you can put in front of a credit committee

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